Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.836392 4.119950 4.422681 4.771367 5.163705 5.593642 6.103334
2025-04-20 3.337115 3.728730 4.173578 4.722071 5.388372 6.182643 7.218574
2025-04-27 3.105062 3.567392 4.116410 4.828568 5.746834 6.919449 8.580838
2025-05-04 2.935357 3.445974 4.073879 4.922562 6.073020 7.633293 10.019063
2025-05-11 2.757881 3.291156 3.964767 4.905202 6.232804 8.126613 11.223018
2025-05-18 2.597923 3.141797 3.844069 4.851402 6.323609 8.519231 12.336630
2025-05-25 2.434111 2.973786 3.682538 4.720907 6.281023 8.693972 13.113574
2025-06-01 2.306062 2.843873 3.561352 4.633612 6.287777 8.938757 14.056525
2025-06-08 2.224580 2.770804 3.511829 4.643360 6.440477 9.438250 15.592035
2025-06-15 2.169139 2.729210 3.502174 4.709134 6.685923 10.129861 17.707541
2025-06-22 2.053735 2.597752 3.355384 4.552575 6.546259 10.103987 18.248574
2025-06-29 1.961688 2.494856 3.244326 4.443334 6.475163 10.194725 19.086349
2025-07-06 1.878153 2.403379 3.149547 4.360298 6.453951 10.403923 20.356291
2025-07-13 1.810454 2.332138 3.081796 4.317125 6.501514 10.764827 22.186014
2025-07-20 1.782765 2.317148 3.097096 4.409944 6.805111 11.712975 26.131865
2025-07-27 1.754254 2.299124 3.106009 4.491756 7.097192 12.700000 30.837651
2025-08-03 1.705416 2.248390 3.060868 4.476654 7.198153 13.267657 34.493728
2025-08-10 1.652957 2.189913 3.000340 4.429827 7.229652 13.673548 37.838998
2025-08-17 1.589423 2.112256 2.905690 4.316093 7.112064 13.680918 39.509114
2025-08-24 1.537656 2.050758 2.834358 4.239888 7.065871 13.869575 42.221024
2025-08-31 1.506481 2.019657 2.810646 4.248402 7.200702 14.577239 48.288345
2025-09-07 1.486801 2.005440 2.813577 4.305821 7.448593 15.668653 58.089234
2025-09-14 1.430518 1.932295 2.716173 4.169057 7.247618 15.390327 58.741495